NAC Breda vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
ZWO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEY
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 4
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
GRO
3 - 2
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 1
ADO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
9 - 1
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 2
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |