NAC Breda vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
AMS
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 3
ADO
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
HFC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |