NAC Breda vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
FEY
1 - 1
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 1
VVD
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
FOR
2 - 0
ELI
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
XER
2 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 3
ADO
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
TEL
2 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
FOR
3 - 2
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |