NAC Breda vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
PSV
2 - 5
NAC
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
BOS
8 - 0
NAC
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
60%
19%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FEY
2 - 2
NAC
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
FOR
0 - 3
TSV
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
0 - 2
FOR
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FOR
4 - 1
VVD
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
VVV
2 - 3
FOR
46%
22%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |