NAC Breda vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
17º
15º
39
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 7% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 30% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Next round
|
4.5% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RKC
5 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
3 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
TWE
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 4
SCH
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FEY
3 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEY
51%
21%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
42%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
6 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
21%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FEY
3 - 0
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
88 | 100 | 12 | +1 |