NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
VOL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
FOR
4 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 3
VIT
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 3
FEY
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
GRO
1 - 2
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |