NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RKC
1 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
NAC
0 - 1
RJC
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 0
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
PSV
5 - 0
NAC
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
3 - 1
UTR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 3
UTR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 2
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |