NAC Breda vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
HFC
3 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
AZA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMS
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
HFC
3 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
NAC
3 - 0
AZA
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
UTR
3 - 2
TWE
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
NEC
3 - 0
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
36%
23%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |