NAC Breda vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 0
EIN
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 1
TWE
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
4 - 2
TWE
14%
28%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
5 - 0
MVV
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |