NAC Breda vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 3
NAC
42%
24%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENS
56%
21%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
1 - 1
ADO
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
VVD
2 - 3
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 2
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 1
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
GRO
3 - 2
DWS
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
VOL
5 - 2
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |