NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
HFC
3 - 2
NAC
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
FOR
0 - 1
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 0
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |