Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-5
NAC Breda vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
XER
3 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
FLO
61%
19%
21%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
BPO
3 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1967 |
HUL
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1967 |
CAR
3 - 0
MID
63%
20%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
CAR
1 - 1
IPS
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |