NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
4 - 1
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AZA
0 - 0
FEY
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |