NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
RKC
2 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 2
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 0
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |