NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 1
NAC
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
RKC
3 - 2
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AZA
40%
24%
35%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 0
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 2
SCH
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 0
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |