NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 3
NAC
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEY
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
AZA
0 - 1
GRA
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
AZA
0 - 2
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 3
RKC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |