NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
PSV
5 - 0
NAC
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
2 - 1
VOL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
24%
28%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |