NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
RJC
0 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 2
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
8 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 1
HFC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
INT
2 - 0
AZA
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 0
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
INT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |