NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
MVV
3 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
SPA
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
ADO
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
FEY
2 - 1
AZA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GAE
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |