NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
NAC
0 - 3
PSV
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEL
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 2
MVV
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
PSV
6 - 0
AZA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 1
GAE
30%
31%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |