NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
1 - 1
DWS
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 2
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
4 - 4
TEL
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
GAE
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
DWS
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |