NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |