NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 3
NAC
42%
23%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 1
DWS
51%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 2
GAE
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ENS
2 - 1
AJA
45%
23%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
69%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
AJA
3 - 1
MVV
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |