NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
4 - 4
VVD
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
VVV
1 - 0
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
0 - 2
FOR
49%
21%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
PSV
2 - 5
NAC
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 3
DWS
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 2
VVD
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOS
3 - 1
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
VVV
0 - 0
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |