NAC Breda vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ENS
3 - 1
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
NAC
2 - 0
VVD
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 1
RJC
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
DVO
0 - 3
NAC
52%
21%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 3
FEY
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 1
DWS
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 0
AJA
26%
21%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VOL
0 - 0
DWS
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
DWS
1 - 0
MVV
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |