NAC Breda vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis


77	ELO	74
0.1%	Tilt	-1.5%
1031º	General ELO ranking	27533º
24º	Country ELO ranking	463º
ELO win probability

60.3%

NAC Breda

18.6%

Draw

21.1%

Amsterdam FC DWS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

60.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%

18.6%

Draw

0-0

2%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

6.3%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

18.6%

21.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%