NAC vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 1
NAC
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCW
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DON
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 2
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 8
SCW
17%
21%
63%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FAV
3 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
AUS
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |