NAC vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
NAC
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
6 - 2
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
DON
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAV
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 4
WIE
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAV
3 - 1
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 1
TEA
24%
22%
53%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DON
3 - 1
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
GER
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |