NAC vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WIE
4 - 0
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
DON
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 1
NAC
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUS
45%
22%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
OST
4 - 0
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POS
4 - 0
DON
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DON
6 - 2
SIM
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
DON
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIE
0 - 1
DON
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |