NAC vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 2
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
GER
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
NAC
43%
23%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 3
FAV
76%
14%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SSH
1 - 2
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 1
DON
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
GER
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
4 - 0
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DON
6 - 1
FIR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |