NAC vs Columbia Floridsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
GER
1 - 3
NAC
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 1
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
SKS
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
GER
1 - 4
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Columbia Floridsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
STA
3 - 0
SCF
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
ADM
8 - 0
SCF
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 4
FAC
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
RAP
3 - 0
SCF
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SCF
3 - 1
SIM
17%
22%
62%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +5 |