NAC vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
OST
4 - 0
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GER
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
STA
3 - 0
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
STA
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
SSH
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AUS
0 - 3
ADM
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POS
0 - 2
AUS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SIM
2 - 3
AUS
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
AUS
42%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
FAV
1 - 1
AUS
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |