NAC vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 2
NAC
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 1
GER
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
POS
3 - 2
NAC
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
TEA
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
NAC
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GER
0 - 2
AUS
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 1
TEA
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FIR
1 - 0
AUS
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AUS
3 - 2
DON
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SCF
4 - 4
AUS
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |