Næsby BK vs Silkeborg IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næsby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 0
SVE
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KJE
1 - 1
NAS
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 2
THI
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAS
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 1
NAE
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Silkeborg IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIF
2 - 1
BIF
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LYN
2 - 3
SIF
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
AAB
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RAN
1 - 2
SIF
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |