Myanmar vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.2%
79.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Myanmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SYR
7 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MMR
1 - 1
SYR
9%
17%
74%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MMR
1 - 6
PRK
6%
14%
80%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
JPN
5 - 0
MMR
92%
7%
2%
|
36 | 90 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
MMR
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
PRK
0 - 3
JPN
9%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |