Mwadui vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
MWA
3 - 0
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
SIM
3 - 0
MWA
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 1
YOU
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 1
TAN
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
JKT
1 - 0
MWA
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
SUT
1 - 3
MTI
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
MTI
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
BUM
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
MTI
42%
32%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MTI
3 - 1
KAG
41%
30%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |