Mwadui vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RUV
6 - 2
MWA
41%
30%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
BUM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 0
MTI
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MWA
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MBE
0 - 0
NDA
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MBE
1 - 0
SUT
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MBE
0 - 1
TAN
37%
33%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
MBE
1 - 1
SUN
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
KAG
0 - 1
MBE
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |