Mwadui vs Mbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 1
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
0 - 0
MWA
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NDA
0 - 0
MWA
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 0
SUT
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
GGF
32%
21%
47%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 0
MBA
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MBA
0 - 1
KAG
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MBA
1 - 0
BUM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MBA
1 - 1
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MBA
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |