Mwadui vs Gwambina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 1
RUV
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SIM
5 - 0
MWA
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 6
JKT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 1
MBE
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gwambina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JKT
0 - 2
GFC
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
GFC
0 - 0
YOU
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
GFC
0 - 3
KMC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COA
1 - 1
GFC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
GFC
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |