MVV Maastricht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MVV
3 - 3
PSV
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FEY
2 - 2
MVV
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MVV
0 - 3
VVV
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 1
MVV
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
DWS
3 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRO
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
WIL
4 - 0
ADO
59%
19%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |