MVV Maastricht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
HEL
2 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 2
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
MVV
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 3
FCO
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
HFC
2 - 0
MVV
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 1
HER
22%
23%
54%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
29%
24%
48%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
FCE
1 - 3
HER
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
APE
0 - 1
HER
27%
24%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |