MVV Maastricht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 1
MVV
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
PSV
2 - 1
MVV
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
MVV
2 - 2
VVD
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
29%
21%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ELI
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 3
FEY
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
TWE
4 - 1
HER
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |