MVV Maastricht vs Fortuna 54 analysis


73	ELO	78
-1.5%	Tilt	-0.1%
1803º	General ELO ranking	28366º
34º	Country ELO ranking	476º
ELO win probability

45.3%

MVV Maastricht

21.5%

Draw

33.2%

Fortuna 54

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

45.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%

21.5%

Draw

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.5%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.6%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.5%

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%