MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 1
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
TEL
4 - 0
MVV
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 1
TWE
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
EIN
1 - 0
MVV
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 0
NEC
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 4
FEY
9%
19%
72%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
AMS
0 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |