MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 1
MVV
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
MVV
1 - 1
BOS
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
MVV
1 - 0
TWE
32%
30%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
89%
8%
3%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
MVV
4 - 0
TEL
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 4
SPA
10%
17%
73%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |