Mutxamel vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAV
3 - 1
MUT
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
MUT
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUT
2 - 1
BFL
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 0
MUT
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MUT
3 - 3
VIJ
59%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
3 - 1
CAL
23%
26%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
ISJ
17%
21%
63%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 0
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAM
18%
23%
60%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |