Muttenz vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
86%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
MUT
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUT
1 - 4
LAN
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
MUT
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MUT
2 - 1
MOU
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 3
MUT
43%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SIO
0 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
LPO
65%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |