Musselburgh Athletic vs Newtongrange Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musselburgh Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
MUS
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
6 - 1
CAM
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JSW
3 - 0
MUS
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUS
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 3
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newtongrange Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IFC
1 - 5
NEW
8%
13%
78%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LOT
3 - 1
NEW
62%
18%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 3
BRX
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
HBH
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
WHI
73%
15%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |