Mushuc Runa vs Valle del Chota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UTC
0 - 3
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
MUS
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUS
2 - 0
ROC
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DPT
3 - 0
MUS
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valle del Chota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
IMB
3 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |