Mushuc Runa vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 2
MUS
27%
27%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 3
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 2
AUC
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FAM
3 - 3
AUC
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
FAM
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 2
TEC
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
FAM
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
RIV
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |